Thursday, December 8, 2011

The Only Poll That Matters ...

Quinnipiac released some new general election head-to-heads that basically show two things:
  • Mitt Romney appears to be a better general election candidate than Newt Gingrich, at least toda.
  • Gingrich is in a less weak general election position now than he was two months ago.
My take on what's happening here is that Romney has forever been the stand-in for "generic Republican", perhaps with some modest boost to his numbers in the Northeast and dampening of his numbers in the South for appearing moderate and not being a Southerner. As the hype surrounding Gingrich has increased, his general election poll numbers are converging closer to generic Republican. If we end up in a long, drawn-out primary season, I suspect they'll end up in nearly identical positions to win the nomination.
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