Andrew Gelman offers a nice corrective
to the discussions of "Operation Gringo": the question of whether or not the GOP can win the electoral college even if their support among Hispanic voters erodes further. Gelman points out that one way to achieve this is to become generally more popular
such that their baseline level of support, pre-Gringo, would be higher. Simply presenting a more diverse public face and coming up with an economic policy more imaginative than upper income tax brackets might be a good start.
I tend to think that the right thing to think about for this isn't so much the presidency as the senate. Texas and Arizona have two republican senators and Nevada and Florida have one; I think you see Big John getting out in front of this because those senate seats start looking very scary if Latinos change their voting habits substantially. Cornyn won by 8, which gets wiped out if Latinos in Texas start voting for the Democrats at a 90% rate rather than a 60% one.
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