Sunday, October 14, 2012


Does anyone know how Nate Silver calculates his "Democratic bang for the buck" index concerning where a $2500 contribution to Senate races will have the most impact?  There isn't an explanation anywhere on the site, as far as I can tell.  Which is unfortunate, because if it's calculated well, it could be very useful.  I suspect it isn't, though, because it's giving some seriously weird results.  At this point, it says the 4th best place to give money is Nebraska, where we're going to lose, and the 6th best place is Texas.  Nevada, Montana, and Wisconsin, all of which strike me as far better donation options, are in places 7-9.

Anyway, top of my list right now is probably Heidi Heitkamp in ND, as a recent Mason-Dixon poll has her in a 47-47 tie with Rick Berg.  But I'll wait a couple days to check out the October 15 FEC filings, as I'd like to see how much cash the campaigns have before I give.  
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